15/12/2023 Economy & Markets Higher rates will start to bite the corporate sector in 2024 Navigate the evolving business landscape with insights on the anticipated intensification of rate increases in 2024. Discover how businesses have leveraged...
15/12/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - December 2023 Explore our monthly publication for insights on global economic trends. Anticipate a shift from 3.1% growth in 2023 to a 2.4% pace in 2024, diverging...
14/11/2023 Economy & Markets Central banks’ unwinding will put more public debt in market... Investors should prepare for a new quantitative tightening paradigm, as major central banks have started unwinding their large balance sheets.
17/10/2023 Economy & Markets Central banks’ endgame: a new policy paradigm Dive into the effects of central bank balance sheet normalization on financial markets, government bond yields, and the evolving investment landscape....
10/10/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - October 2023 Macroeconomics forecasts
10/10/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - October 2023 Inflation has been on a declining path in advanced countries, albeit with some stickiness in services inflation
10/10/2023 Economy & Markets Limited hit from energy price rise on US consumption so far The impact of energy on the US economy has declined over the last three decades, but a series of shocks since the pandemic and a +30% price surge since...
15/09/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - September 202... Macroeconomic forecasts
15/09/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - September 2023 End in sight: Bank of Japan to complete policy normalisation
15/09/2023 Economy & Markets The Eurozone economy under scrutiny, as the policy support f... Much less fiscal policy support will likely constrain domestic demand and higher-for-longer interest rates will make monetary policy even more restrictive.
28/07/2023 Economy & Markets Fed moving to a pause with a very data-dependent approach The Talks elaborates on the banking stress in US and the FOMC May meeting.
19/06/2023 Economy & Markets 2020s vs 1970s: echoes, not a replay Despite many similarities between the inflationary period in the 1970s and in the 2020s, the two scenarios are not identical.
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US... Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession.
3/04/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2023 Core inflation has been persistent across both the United States and the Eurozone, slightly reversing previous indications of a smoother path and a faster...
23/03/2023 Economy & Markets Fed delivers a dovish hike: a rate cycle peak may be close Inflation remains the Fed's main concern. We remain cautious and anticipate market volatility, given the central bank continues to be data dependent.