29/06/2023 Investment Views Global Investment Views - July 2023 Don’t ignore the economic weakness ahead.
22/06/2023 Global Outlook Mid-year outlook 2023: key convictions for H2 2023 Markets are at a critical juncture as central banks are hitting the pause button after the fastest hiking cycle since the ‘80s. Quality is the compass...
22/06/2023 Global Outlook Mid-year outlook 2023: global themes Central banks face a dilemma. Substantial monetary tightening has reduced headline inflation, but core measures are proving sticky, both in Europe and...
22/06/2023 Cross Asset Research Cross Asset Investment Strategy – special edition: mid-year ... The June Cross Asset issue is a special mid-year outlook edition, featuring our key views as we enter the second half of the year.
19/06/2023 Economy & Markets 2020s vs 1970s: echoes, not a replay Despite many similarities between the inflationary period in the 1970s and in the 2020s, the two scenarios are not identical.
26/05/2023 Investment Views Global Investment Views - June 2023 Bonds (and cash) are back on the radar screen. Read more of our monthly investment views.
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2023 Real, or inflation-adjusted, bond yields are higher than they were before the pandemic, but are likely to return to pre-Covid levels in the medium term,...
10/05/2023 Economy & Markets Our key takeaways from IMF’s Spring meetings Investor sentiment is downbeat, but not overly bearish. With tightening credit conditions, our US growth outlook is lower compared to the IMF’s, while...
8/02/2023 Economy & Markets Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected? High inflation has not triggered a wage-price spiral in the advanced economies. Monetary tightening has contained inflation expectations and a continued firm...
7/11/2022 Economy & Markets For the Fed, the impossible QT The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation.
12/10/2022 Economy & Markets Too early for a Fed pivot The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth.