Must read articles

Scenarios
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Monthly Cross Asset 11.07.2022 Market Scenarios and Risks - July/August 2022

We keep the probabilities of our central and alternative scenarios unchanged vs. last month. The new wave of Covid-19 and stagnation in the Eurozone are adding growth uncertainty over the short-term.

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Monthly Cross Asset 3.06.2022 Market Scenarios and Risks - June 2022

We keep the probabilities of our central and alternative scenario unchanged versus last month but amend the narrative to take into account the evolving geopolitical situation (see Ukraine crisis tree).The new wave of Covid-19 in China and stagnation in the Euro-area are adding growth uncertainty over the short-term.

More 5 to 10 minutes
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Monthly Cross Asset 5.05.2022 Market Scenarios and Risks - May 2022

We keep the narratives and the probabilities of our central and alternative scenario unchanged versus last month.

More < 5 minutes
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Monthly Cross Asset 4.10.2021 Market Scenarios and Risks - October 2021

On the back of our quarterly updates, we have reviewed the narrative and the probabilities of our central and alternative scenarios.

More < 5 minutes
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Monthly Cross Asset 8.09.2021 Market Scenarios and Risks - September 2021

On the back of our quarterly updates, we have reviewed the narrative and the probabilities of our central and alternative scenarios.

More 5 to 10 minutes
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Monthly Cross Asset 2.07.2021 Market Scenarios and Risks - July 2021

On the back of our quarterly updates, we have reviewed the narrative and the probabilities of our central and alternative scenarios.

More 5 to 10 minutes
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Monthly Cross Asset 2.06.2021 Market Scenarios and Risks - June 2021

We maintain the narrative and probabilities of our central and alternative scenarios. In our central scenario, equities outperform on the back of abundant liquidity, improving fundamentals and accommodative monetary policy.

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Monthly Cross Asset 4.05.2021 Market Scenarios and Risks - May 2021

We note progress on the vaccine front despite logistics and side effects issues.

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Monthly Cross Asset 8.04.2021 Market Scenarios and Risks - April 2021
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Significant progress in managing the pandemic, massive fiscal impulse in the US, and boosters in the RoW amidst accommodative monetary policies.

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