Narratives
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Discussion Paper 9.06.2022 The embarrassing legacy of financial capitalism: implications for investors

Understanding how the legacies of the 'old economy' paved the way for a new macro-financial regime today, and implications for investors.

More > 10 minutes
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Thematic Paper 9.06.2022 Shifts & Narratives #20 - Stagflation and its roots in capital misallocation

Understanding how the misallocation of capital in the last macro-financial regime laid the foundations for the prospect of stagflation today.

More 5 to 10 minutes
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Thematic Paper 2.06.2022 Shifts & Narratives #18 - The power of narratives for investors

Narratives have been around for a long time but their impact on financial markets has not been fully exploited. Our analysis suggests that narratives complement traditional macro variables when it comes to explaining financial market behaviour.

More > 10 minutes
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Working Paper 7.04.2022 Monitoring Narratives: an Application to the Equity Market

In this research, we show that variables from the Global Database of Events, Language and Tone (GDELT) convey significant informational content that can improve on a purely macroeconomic approach when modeling the US equity market.

More > 10 minutes
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Thematic Paper 16.09.2021 Shifts & Narratives #8 - Post-summer check-up on the regime shift

Investors have enjoyed stellar performances over the last twelve months. A 60/40 traditional global equity/bond portfolio returned around 19% on a one-year horizon, well above even the rosiest expectations of the recovery from the Covid-19-induced slump. The S&P 500 is up +100% from last year’s bottom – an iconic figure that says a lot about the buoyant market sentiment.

More > 10 minutes
Pension Funds letter
Letter 17.05.2021 Amundi Pension Funds Letter n°11

In the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, a lot of discussion has focused on the worsening of the retirement prospects of savers around the world. Indeed, exceptional policies, such as the possibility of raiding retirement pots in advance and the low interest rate environment supported by dovish monetary policies, could potentially have dramatic impacts on the availability of pensions in the long run.

More > 10 minutes
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Thematic Paper 9.04.2021 Shifts & Narratives #1 - Do not give up on fundamental valuations
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Today, most investors are at a loss regarding what to think of the notion of value and valuations and, even most importantly, how to use it in portfolio construction.

More > 10 minutes
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