GDP Growth
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Investment Talks 22.07.2022 Italy swimming in uncertain waters as PM Draghi resigns

Italian government crisis, likely outcome: snap elections the most likely outcome. Prime Minister Draghi would remain at the helm of a caretaker government, until a new one is formed after the elections.

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RC - Investment Talks - Macroeconomic projections for the italian economy
Investment Talks 28.06.2022 Macroeconomic projections for the Italian economy and fixed income implications

The growth outlook for Italy has been revised down on tighter financing conditions and monetary policy normalization, coupled with the energy crisis in Europe and global value chain bottlenecks.

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RC - 2022.05 - Thematic-2 -slider
Monthly Cross Asset 6.05.2022 Hold tight for the Chinese demand shock: faith over fear

The extended lockdown in Shanghai and other cities have shattered market confidence, sending Chinese equity market down again over the month.

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Insights Paper 3.05.2022 Global real estate markets: rich valuations, but not a source of systemic risk

Understanding the current situation of global real estate markets and their likely evolution in a high-inflation regime.

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RC - 2022.04 - Investment talks - Commodities - cover
Investment Talks 27.04.2022 War and Net Zero offer opportunities across the commodity universe

Understanding the role that commodities could play in portfolio diversification under a regime of high and persistent inflation.

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RC - 2022.04 - ECB strikes a somewhat dovish tone...
Investment Talks 15.04.2022 ECB strikes a somewhat dovish tone, despite inflation remaining top priority

We expect QE to end in Q3, as announced, followed by rate normalisation, which is likely to lift rates out of negative territory over the next few months, with two hikes before year-end, followed by another in Q1 2023

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Investment Talks 25.10.2021 Evergrande and its spill-over effects: ongoing adjustments, but inflection point may be close

Evergrande crisis: Despite Evergrande paid the coupon due on September 23, just one day before the 30-day grace period deadline, the company's crisis is still unresolved.

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2019-07-Insights paper-fixe income Q3 2019
Insights Paper 16.12.2019 Fixed income: Back to core – Charts and Views - Build a robust 'core' and diversify income sources
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The ongoing slowdown in global trade will weaken global GDP growth further in 2020 – especially in advanced economies skewed towards the manufacturing sector – but a full-blown recession is unlikely, in our view.

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Thematic Paper 30.05.2018 France: significant promises kept, but the most crucial reforms will take time

One year on from his election victory the French president has already lived up to some of his campaign promises, most visibly regarding labour market regulation and taxation, actions that have generally been welcomed by international financial commentators.

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