
Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q2 2022
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SurveyInvestors have enjoyed stellar performances over the last twelve months. A 60/40 traditional global equity/bond portfolio returned around 19% on a one-year horizon, well above even the rosiest expectations of the recovery from the Covid-19-induced slump. The S&P 500 is up +100% from last year’s bottom – an iconic figure that says a lot about the buoyant market sentiment.
More > 10 minutesThe Covid-19 crisis can be considered a turning point for social issues: it has put global socio-economic inequalities in the spotlight and made them more concrete than ever before. It has also clearly shown the tragic effects, from an economic and societal perspective, that systemic shocks can have on unequal, non-resilient societies.
More > 10 minutesThese are days to be optimistic if you are an Asset Manager. And this is not just because the industry has been doing well and the fundamentals remain strong going forward. The future looks bright because the same technological forces that are being so disruptive, present an equal number of opportunities for those who are prepared to embrace change.
More > 10 minutesThe Covid-19 crisis is exceptional in many ways. It is the most serious health crisis since the Spanish flu a century ago. This crisis resulted in an unprecedented contraction of activity in 2020 and in the deepest global recession since World War II. However, this recession has been the shortest and was not accompanied by a financial crisis thanks to fiscal and monetary policy responses, which have cushioned the economic shock. The exceptional measures put in place aim to buy the time needed to emerge from the health crisis.
More > 10 minutesProfound changes in the international arena are underway. Together the EU, China and the United States are the three largest economies in the world. Whereas, previously, economic and geopolitical issues were treated separately, it is increasingly clear that the United States and China are using their economic power for geopolitical purposes. Such geopolitical leadership has economic implications.
More > 10 minutesThe Conference of the Parties (COP)26 in Glasgow has been hailed as a turning point in the global fight regarding climate change amid a new US administration and a long and strenuous exit from the Covid-19 pandemic. Six years on from the Paris agreement, the objective is clear: limit the temperature rise to 1.5°C above preindustrial averages, which means reaching net zero carbon emissions by 2050, and cutting them by half this decade.
More > 10 minutesOne year ago, as the Covid-19 crisis had just begun, we wrote about its potential inflation implications from both a cyclical and a structural standpoint.
More > 10 minutesToday, most investors are at a loss regarding what to think of the notion of value and valuations and, even most importantly, how to use it in portfolio construction.
More > 10 minutesProfessional investors are Professional investors of the European Union, as defined as in European Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments(MIFID) to investment services providers and any other professional of the financial industry,and as the case may be in each local regulation, and, as far as the offering in Switzerland is concerned, a Qualified Investor within the meaning of the provisions of the Swiss CollectiveInvestment Schemes Act of 23 June 2006 (CISA), the Swiss Collective Investment SchemesOrdinance of 22 November 2006 (CISO) and the FINMA’s Circular 08/8 on Public Advertising under the Collective Investment Schemes legislation of 20 November 2008
European Directive 2004/39/EC dated 21 April 2004 on markets in financial instruments (MIFID)
Private customers or retail investors, or to investors who do not comply with the definition of qualified investors as defined in the applicable legislation and regulation
as defined in the US Securities Act of 1933
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