Scenarios

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Monthly Cross Asset 4.05.2021 Market Scenarios and Risks - May 2021

We note progress on the vaccine front despite logistics and side effects issues.

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Monthly Cross Asset 8.04.2021 Market Scenarios and Risks - April 2021
111

Significant progress in managing the pandemic, massive fiscal impulse in the US, and boosters in the RoW amidst accommodative monetary policies.

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Monthly Cross Asset 3.03.2021 Market Scenarios and Risks - March 2021
320

This month, we maintain the probabilities and narrative of our central and alternative scenarios.

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  • 320
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Monthly Cross Asset 2.02.2021 Market scenarios and risks - February 2021
44

This month, we maintain the probabilities and narrative of our central and alternative scenarios.

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  • 44
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Monthly Cross Asset 12.01.2021 Market Scenarios and Risks - January 2021
69

This month, we update the probabilities and narrative of our central and alternative scenarios, taking into account 4Q20 developments in vaccinations, fiscal an...

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  • 69
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Monthly Cross Asset 1.12.2020 Market scenarios and risks - December 2020
29

This month, we left the probabilities of the central and alternative scenario heavily anchored to our macroeconomic forecast unchanged.

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Monthly Cross Asset 4.11.2020 Market scenarios and risks - November 2020
23

Risks are clustered to ease the detection of hedging strategies, but they are obviously linked.

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Monthly Cross Asset 2.10.2020 Market scenarios & risks - October 2020
21

This month, we do not amend the narrative of our central and alternative scenario.

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Monthly Cross Asset 3.09.2020 Market scenarios & risks - September 2020
17

We marginally amend the narrative of our central and alternative scenario on the back of recent development.

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