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Vignette_Employment-improved-in-Q1

Vignette_Employment-improved-in-Q1

21.06.2016 - Thought of the Day

Employment improved in Q1

The number of persons with a job increased by 0.3% in the euro zone in Q1 2016 vs. Q4 2015.

Tristan PERRIER

Senior Economist

Vignette_brexit

Vignette_brexit

14.06.2016 - Thought of the Day

The eventuality of a "Brexit" weighs on financial markets

The probability of "Bremain" implied by betting markets has fallen dramatically over the last weeks (62% only on June 14). For many financial variables, the Bremain/Brexit probabilities became the biggest market driver since early May.

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

Vignette_euro

Vignette_euro

11.05.2016 - Thought of the Day

The share of non-Eurozone countries in the gross issuance of €-denominated sovereign bonds keeps rising

Over the last 12 months, non-Eurozone countries represented 5.3% of the issuance of medium-term and long-term €-denominated sovereign bonds.

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

Vignette-Fed

Vignette-Fed

15.04.2016 - Thought of the Day

The Fed’s reinvestments of maturing US Treasuries to continue to weigh on yields

At the end of March 2016, $23.6 bn of US Treasuries (UST) held by the Fed matured

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

Vignette_ECB

Vignette_ECB

14.04.2016 - Thought of the Day

Eurozone investors bought massively US bonds over the last two years

The ECB just published its international investment position data for Q4 2015, these data are particular useful as they offer a geographical breakdown for direct investment and portfolio investment.

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

Vignette_holdingingermany

Vignette_holdingingermany

13.04.2016 - Thought of the Day

The share of government debt held by non-residents at a 5 year low in Germany

The share of German government debt held by non-residents fell to 52.8% in Q4 2015, ie its lowest level since Q1 2011.

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

employee-compensation-Euro-area

employee-compensation-Euro-area

07.04.2016 - Thought of the Day

Rise in total employee compensation in the Euro area in Q4 2015

Total employee compensation in the Euro area was 2.8% higher in Q4 2015 than in Q4 2014, in nominal terms. This pace of increase has been increasing regularly since the end of 2012, and is now in line with that of nominal GDP.

Tristan PERRIER

Senior Economist

Vignette_profit-US

Vignette_profit-US

31.03.2016 - Thought of the Day

Decline in US Corporate profits in Q4 2015

US corporate profits declined -6.8% at annual rate in Q4 2015 vs Q3 of the same year, according to Bureau of Economy Analysis data (profits before taxes with inventory valuation adjustment).Most of this decline is due to the petroleum & coal sector, whose profit declined $124 bn, and tonet overseas profitsthat fell $6.4 bn.Domestic profits excluding petroleum and coal declined only -1.7% a.r, or $38.8bn.

Tristan PERRIER

Senior Economist

Vignette_UST-holdings

Vignette_UST-holdings

25.03.2016 - Thought of the Day

The decline of Chinese holdings of US Treasuries is counterbalanced by the acceleration of Eurozone holdings

Many commentators said that the fall of China's foreign reserves would impact the US Treasury market as around 40% of China's foreign reserves are held in US Treasuries.

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

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