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05.01.2021 - Investment Talks

A thin and last-minute Brexit deal should give temporary relief to UK assets

The deal: the core of the deal is a zero-tariff/zero-quota free trade agreement for goods, but trade will be affected by new non-tariff barriers such as customs checks and compliance procedures. The deal is lighter concerning trade in services, and in most services sectors providers will need to seek approval on a case-by-case basis with national authorities.

Kasper ELMGREEN, Matteo GERMANO, Tristan PERRIER

11.12.2019 - Investment Talks

UK election could pave the way for an orderly Brexit and a rebound in equities

The possibility of seeing a smoother, faster Brexit will depend on the outcome of the UK election on Thursday, 12 December.

Tristan PERRIER, Laurent CROSNIER, Kasper ELMGREEN

06.11.2019 - Monthly Cross Asset

A Brexit deal: probably, but not just yet

Risks of a no-deal Brexit have receded materially over the past few weeks, implying that the Bank of England is now more likely to keep its monetary policy on hold, in a wait-and-see mode over the next year. UK nominal yields have already removed most of the no-deal risk, having repriced up by almost 30bps from their October lows, and are seen moving more in line with the global trend in nominal rates going forward.

Sergio BERTONCINI, Tristan PERRIER, Silvia DI SILVIO

12.03.2019 - Investment Talks

Brexit: an agreement is now more likely, but be aware of a no deal risk, not priced in

Developments and scenarios ahead: This is probably the most decisive week for Brexit and the situation is still rapidly evolving.

Didier BOROWSKI, Laurent CROSNIER, Matteo GERMANO, Tristan PERRIER

17.01.2019 - Investment Talks

Brexit deal voted down: what happens now?

The Brexit deal’s defeat in Parliament was expected, but the size of the loss was not – the result of 432 votes against versus 202 for was quite a surprise.

Tristan PERRIER, Chris MORRIS, Kasper ELMGREEN

08.01.2019 - Investment Talks

Brexit muddle-through towards the approaching the confidence vote

Didier BOROWSKI, Tristan PERRIER, Chris MORRIS, Laurent CROSNIER

14.02.2018 - Thematic Paper

Brexit: how the future trade agreement is going to shape UK financial assets

This year will be crucial for the future of United Kingdom’s relationship with the European Union following Brexit.

Didier BOROWSKI, Andrea BRASILI, Monica DEFEND, Bastien DRUT, Roberta FORTES, Eric MIJOT, Tristan PERRIER, Lorenzo PORTELLI, Silvia DI SILVIO, Ibra WANE