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03.12.2019 - Discussion Paper

Quantitative easing: the end of the road for pension investors?

Has central banks’ Quantitative Easing (QE) been a blessing or a curse for investors?

Amin RAJAN

CEO, CREATE-Research

Sergio Bertoncini

Sergio Bertoncini

15.11.2019 - Expert Talk

ECB QE2 starts on a strong foot with a tilt to the private sector

ECB QE2 started off on a strong foot, according to data released on Monday regarding the very first week of purchases.

Sergio BERTONCINI

Head of Rates & FX Research

Couv-Cross-Asset-Invt-Strategy-Monthly_March-2019

Couv-Cross-Asset-Invt-Strategy-Monthly_March-2019

04.03.2019 - Monthly Cross Asset

Fed “quantitative tightening” is close to its end God bless QE!

As is widely known, Fed communication has moved significantly towards a much more dovish tone in the past two months. The change in communication has been twofold, both on rates (the Fed became “patient” and “flexible” on the rate outlook) and on prospects for the so-called quantitative tightening (no longer any “autopilot” in balance-sheet runoff).

Sergio BERTONCINI

Head of Rates & FX Research

Thematic paper - Quarterly Asset Class Return Forecasts

Thematic paper - Quarterly Asset Class Return Forecasts

30.04.2018 - Thematic Paper

Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q2 - 2018

Global growth is expected to remain mostly supportive buoyed by robust demand and continues to be the main driver in asset prices for the next few years.

Delphine GEORGES, Viviana GISIMUNDO, Jung Hun KIM MOON

2018-02-16 - the improvemenet of peripheral bonds

2018-02-16 - the improvemenet of peripheral bonds

16.02.2018 - Thematic Paper

The improvement of peripheral bonds’ fundamentals has accelerated

Two events pushed down Eurozone sovereign spreads in 2017: the French presidential election in April & May, which dissipated investors’ fears about Eurosceptic movements, and the announcement on 26 October of a smaller-than-expected reduction in ECB’s QE for 2018 (monthly purchases lowered from € 60 bn to €30bn).

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

Thematic paper - Quarterly Asset Class Return Forecasts

Thematic paper - Quarterly Asset Class Return Forecasts

06.02.2018 - Thematic Paper

Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q1 - 2018

The robust global economic growth experienced in 2017 is expected to continue into 2018, albeit with some notable exceptions such as UK. Such growth is to be reflected in ever higher equity price levels and thus expected to become costlier with respect to the most recent valuations.

Bastien DRUT, Delphine GEORGES, Viviana GISIMUNDO, Jung Hun KIM MOON

2017.10.18 thematic paper

2017.10.18 thematic paper

18.10.2017 - Thematic Paper

How the ECB’s quantitative easing transformed the European sovereign bond market

On 26 October, the ECB will announce a reduction in the pace of its asset purchases beginning in 2018, with a very likely phase-out of the purchases by the end of the year. Initiated in March 2015, the ECB’s quantitative easing (QE) will have a lasting impact on the European bond markets.

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

2017-07-08-Article-2

2017-07-08-Article-2

24.07.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

The reasons for which the ECB will exit ultra-loose monetary policy measures

The shift in the ECB's monetary policy will be a key market focus in H2 2017. Despite the weak dynamics of core inflation, the ECB will continue to change its communication and to reduce its ultra-loose monetary policy measures for a variety of reasons in the coming months.

Valentine AINOUZ, Bastien DRUT

2017-03-how-will-the-feds-balance-sheet-return-to-normal

2017-03-how-will-the-feds-balance-sheet-return-to-normal

16.03.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

How will the Fed’s balance sheet return to normal?

The balance sheet normalisation has become a hot topic, for FOMC members and market players. This is a source of worry for some, given the dollar amounts involved. That said, the reduction of the Fed’s balance sheet should be gradual, and focused on MBSs.

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

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