Olivier ACCOMINOTTI, Marie BRIERE, Aurore BURIETZ, Kim OOSTERLINCK, Ariane SZAFARZ
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In this article, tests for globalization and contagion are separated using an ex ante definition of crises, and contagion tests are neutralized with respect to globalization effects. A large database is constructed to study the stability of correlation matrices for four asset classes: equities, government bonds, investment-grade corporate bonds, and high-yield corporate bonds, in four geographical zones. Overall, the results confirm the instability of correlations and point to a combination of globalization and flight to quality, while emphasizing that contagion on the equity markets appears as an artifact due to globalization.
Ariane CHAPELLE, Marie BRIERE, Ariane SZAFARZ