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12.01.2021 - Monthly Cross Asset

Is the euro’s rise a sign of greater resilience?

The complexity and fragility of European institutions have contributed to maintaining a specific political risk premium on European assets, including the euro. But institutions were ultimately strengthened when negotiators agreed in July to launch the New Generation EU package. The euro’s recent appreciation may be an early sign of decline in this “risk premium”. Foreign investors may therefore want to rebalance their portfolios in favour of Eurozone assets, which could push the euro higher. Should the euroappreciate too fast, the ECB would not stay on the side-lines.

Didier BOROWSKI, Tristan PERRIER

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

08.01.2021 - ECB QE Monitor

ECB QE Monitor - January 2021

The Eurosystem started its QE in March 2015.

Mickael BELLAÏCHE

Fixed Income Strategist

Global Investment Views

Global Investment Views

22.12.2020 - Global Investment Views

Global Investment Views - January 2021

2020 has been an unprecedented year in modern history, with the Covid-19 pandemic leading to the deepest global recession post World War II that has affected the most countries simultaneously since the 1870s (World Bank). This big shock is not going to reverse completely, and the old normal will not return as it used to be.

Pascal BLANQUE, Vincent MORTIER

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

15.12.2020 - ECB QE Monitor

ECB QE Monitor - December 2020

The Eurosystem started its QE in March 2015.

Mickael BELLAÏCHE

Fixed Income Strategist

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

26.11.2020 - ECB QE Monitor

ECB QE Monitor - November 2020

The Eurosystem started its QE in March 2015.

Mickael BELLAÏCHE

Fixed Income Strategist

Slider

Slider

04.11.2020 - Monthly Cross Asset

Bonds that are not really binding

Should the €2,800 billion in sovereign bonds or the equivalent* that are on the European Central Bank’s balance sheet be treated just like any other bonds? This question, which has come up regularly over the past several months, is far from being of mere academic interest. In fact, it is symptomatic of a wish to forgive or even cancel a portion of the public debt being raised to cope with the Covid-19 crisis. But, rather than simply ignoring it, a more standard solution for the financial markets would be to regard such debt as virtual for the moment and to exclude it temporarily from public debt ratios.

Pierre BLANCHET

Head of Investment Intelligence

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

16.10.2020 - ECB QE Monitor

ECB QE Monitor - October 2020

The Eurosystem started its QE in March 2015.

Mickael BELLAÏCHE

Fixed Income Strategist

Vignette - Thematics - Fixed Income

Vignette - Thematics - Fixed Income

02.10.2020 - Monthly Cross Asset

Fixed income dynamics in the current monetary and fiscal landscape

The global economy rebounded quickly during the summer from the coronavirus pandemic. In this phase of recovery, central banks played a key role in the massive supply of credit to governments and companies. To tackle the health crisis, almost all governments implemented large-scale fiscal stimulus and support measures, including corporate loan guarantees. At the same time, major central banks increased their purchases of sovereign debt to levels never seen before, played a backstop role in the corporate debt market and provided cheap liquidity to banks (in the case of the ECB). In a second phase, we expect government to implement stimulus measures. What will be the impact for the fixed income market?

Valentine AINOUZ, Delphine GEORGES

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

11.09.2020 - ECB QE Monitor

ECB QE Monitor - September 2020

The Eurosystem started its QE in March 2015.

Mickael BELLAÏCHE

Fixed Income Strategist

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