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10.07.2020 - Insights Paper

Time to play a cyclical recovery in European equity

Cyclical conditions are turning more positive for Europe. Easing geopolitical risk and the prospect of massive fiscal resources (national and EU-wide) and monetary support could support a recovery in 2021. The improved sentiment could benefit European assets, equities in particular, that have been a laggard due to the pandemic. This could lead to a catch up of EU equities in relative terms vs other markets.

Pascal BLANQUE, Vincent MORTIER

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

08.07.2020 - ECB QE Monitor

ECB QE Monitor - June 2020

The Eurosystem started its QE in March 2015.

Mickael BELLAÏCHE

Fixed Income Strategist

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Vignette

15.06.2020 - Podcast

Blue Convictions - Eurogroup and ECB rescue packages: measures and analysis of the fixed income market

A lot is coming from the fiscal side in Europe to fight the economic consequences of the crisis: French supplementary budget just released, Germany abandoning the black zero policy, and the debate on recovery plan taking center stage, with some adjustments in countries’ positions. How to assess these recent evolutions?

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

09.06.2020 - ECB QE Monitor

ECB QE Monitor - May 2020

The Eurosystem started its QE in March 2015.

Mickael BELLAÏCHE

Fixed Income Strategist

Thematic - Cross Asset

Thematic - Cross Asset

27.05.2020 - Monthly Cross Asset

Thematics Views - June 2020

As part of their toolkit to support the economic recovery during the Covid-19 crisis, central banks could implement yield-curve control. Although appealing, the implementation and exit risks of such a policy counterbalance the benefits, particularly in the Eurozone. Moreover, the impact on financial markets could be significant since chained risk-free assets could temporarily leave risky assets unsettled.

Pierre BLANCHET, Didier BOROWSKI, Paresh UPADHYAYA, Annalisa USARDI

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

19.05.2020 - ECB QE Monitor

ECB QE Monitor - April 2020

The Eurosystem started its QE in March 2015.

Mickael BELLAÏCHE

Fixed Income Strategist

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

Slider ECB QE MONITOR

14.04.2020 - ECB QE Monitor

ECB QE Monitor - March 2020

The Eurosystem started its QE in March 2015.

Mickael BELLAÏCHE

Fixed Income Strategist

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02.04.2020 - Monthly Cross Asset

Central banks are entering a new regime: unlimited support

Coordinated actions by central banks and governments have a clear objective to prevent a sharp rise in bankruptcies. We are confident in central banks’ ability to address the liquidity crisis as central banks have entered a new regime: unlimited support. However, we have no strong convictions on the depth of the coming solvability crisis.

Valentine AINOUZ

Deputy Head of Developed Market Strategy Research

Thematic - Cross Asset

Thematic - Cross Asset

02.04.2020 - Monthly Cross Asset

Thematics Views - The Eurozone’s quantum leap: on the road to debt mutualisation

The Eurozone’s architecture does not allow it to contain all the risks arising from the current shock. Recourse to an European Stability Mechanism (ESM) credit line without strong conditionality is a de facto first step towards debt mutualisation. Looking ahead, this could pave the way to a European budget and a common debt.

Didier BOROWSKI, Pierre BLANCHET

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