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05.01.2021 - Investment Talks

A thin and last-minute Brexit deal should give temporary relief to UK assets

The deal: the core of the deal is a zero-tariff/zero-quota free trade agreement for goods, but trade will be affected by new non-tariff barriers such as customs checks and compliance procedures. The deal is lighter concerning trade in services, and in most services sectors providers will need to seek approval on a case-by-case basis with national authorities.

Kasper ELMGREEN, Matteo GERMANO, Tristan PERRIER

Thematic - Cross Asset

Thematic - Cross Asset

02.10.2020 - Monthly Cross Asset

You asked, we answer

Our Global Views team attempts to answer some of the questions often asked by our clients.

Didier BOROWSKI, Pierre BLANCHET, Tristan PERRIER

Thematic - Cross Asset

Thematic - Cross Asset

24.06.2020 - Monthly Cross Asset

Thematics Views - July 2020

Covid-19 is a symmetric shock with asymmetric outcomes. Existing imbalances within Europe such as public debt, economic models or vision for the union, turn to cracks and the EU is facing fragmentation risks. However, the EU should be able to get over it as it did with the Global Financial Crisis.

Pierre BLANCHET, Didier BOROWSKI, Tristan PERRIER, Valentine AINOUZ, Mickael BELLAÏCHE, Noah FUNDERBURK

Blue Conversation - February 2020

Blue Conversation - February 2020

12.02.2020 - Podcast

Blue Conversation - Brexit Day: Next steps? - February 2020

As the Brexit bill passed UK legislation, this episode of Blue Conversation discusses the insights on the next steps following this major milestone. Listen to Amundi’s experts discussing the markets and investment impacts.

Simon FRASER, Jean-Jacques BARBERIS, Jacques KELLER, Tristan PERRIER

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10.02.2020 - Investment Talks

Brexit still weighs on GBP, but the situation on rates and equity could normalise

Now that the United Kingdom is officially out of the EU, a new phase has opened up, during which UK officials will have to negotiate a trade deal with the EU to avoid a ‘Brexit cliff edge’ at the end of 2020. The available time span is short, but an agreement is possible on either a trade deal, another extension or some mixture of the two. The negotiations should be simplified now the UK is able to rely on a solid parliamentary majority, while on the EU side there can no longer be any hope that the UK will remain in the EU.

Kasper ELMGREEN, Tristan PERRIER, Jacques KELLER

Slider UK General Election

Slider UK General Election

11.12.2019 - Investment Talks

UK election could pave the way for an orderly Brexit and a rebound in equities

The possibility of seeing a smoother, faster Brexit will depend on the outcome of the UK election on Thursday, 12 December.

Tristan PERRIER, Laurent CROSNIER, Kasper ELMGREEN

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06.11.2019 - Monthly Cross Asset

A Brexit deal: probably, but not just yet

Risks of a no-deal Brexit have receded materially over the past few weeks, implying that the Bank of England is now more likely to keep its monetary policy on hold, in a wait-and-see mode over the next year. UK nominal yields have already removed most of the no-deal risk, having repriced up by almost 30bps from their October lows, and are seen moving more in line with the global trend in nominal rates going forward.

Sergio BERTONCINI, Tristan PERRIER, Silvia DI SILVIO

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Vignette 600x400

30.10.2019 - Investment Talks

Brexit extension will ease uncertainty looming on UK assets

Following the three-month extension granted to the UK by the EU on 28 October and the newly announced snap election, the most likely outcome is that the Withdrawal Agreement signed on 17 October between the United Kingdom and the EU will be ratified, leading to an orderly Brexit and the initiation of a transition period during which the United Kingdom will retain most of its access to the EU single market until at least end-2020. The risk of a no-deal Brexit is now greatly diminished.

Tristan PERRIER, Kasper ELMGREEN, Monica DEFEND, Laurent CROSNIER

Brexit update

Brexit update

04.10.2019 - Investment Talks

Brexit Update - Moving towards the October 31st deadline

What are the different options expected and what potential impacts on the market can be foreseen? Amundi leads you on a clearer path with a dedicated infographic analysis.

Amundi Research & Investment Insights Unit

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