/ Research Center

06.11.2019 - Monthly Cross Asset

A Brexit deal: probably, but not just yet

Risks of a no-deal Brexit have receded materially over the past few weeks, implying that the Bank of England is now more likely to keep its monetary policy on hold, in a wait-and-see mode over the next year. UK nominal yields have already removed most of the no-deal risk, having repriced up by almost 30bps from their October lows, and are seen moving more in line with the global trend in nominal rates going forward.

Sergio BERTONCINI, Tristan PERRIER, Silvia DI SILVIO

06.11.2017 - Investment Talks

The Bank of England raises rates: Bearish for the pound

The latest data indicate that the market is only slightly short GBP and we think that this view is too optimistic.

Tristan PERRIER, Bastien DRUT, Francesco SANDRINI

08.06.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

How the Bank of England sees the Brexit

The way the Bank of England (BoE) perceives Brexit has changed a great deal since early 2016. After being too pessimistic and quickly taking monetary easing measures, it’s fair to ask how it has not become too optimistic.

Bastien DRUT & Roberta FORTES

Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi

2016-10-CBPS: The BoE's corporate bond purchase programme at work

17.10.2016 - Monthly Cross Asset

CBPS: The BoE’s corporate bond purchase programme at work

By mid-September the Bank of England released more details about its £10-billion Corporate Bond Purchase Scheme (CBPS), which had been announced on 4 August and just began at the end of last month.

Sergio BERTONCINI

Head of Rates and FX Research

18.01.2016 - Monthly Investment Letters

Happy New Year?

Fixed income markets are not at their most attractive in this beginning of 2016. Euro money market yields have settled in the red with much determination. Many European bond yields are now negative, and not just in the ‘core’ countries. Yields on the long end of the curve have ended the year lower than in January.

Eric BRARD, Laurent CROSNIER, Thierry DARMON, Marie-Anne ALLIER, Denys DE CAMPIGNEULLES, Cédric MORISSEAU, Shinichiro ARIE CFA, Patrick GUIVARCH, Philippe JAUER, Daniel C. DEKTAR, Dan ADLER

10.02.2015 - Monthly Cross Asset

What the central banks are afraid of: that the impact of lower oil prices on inflation is not transitory

The decline in oil prices is mechanically lowering inflation. The key issue is whether the impact on inflation will be temporary or permanent.

Nicolas DOISY, Bastien DRUT

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