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07.08.2020 - Investment Talks

Investing in the first in, first out theme: opportunities in Asia

Overview:The Asia region was the first part of the world to be hit by the Covid-19 outbreak, but it has also been the first region to navigate a way out of it, thanks to its good management of the pandemic and supported by fiscal and monetary actions. Strong fundamentals pave the way for a strong catch-up in Asia, driven by China.

Vincent MORTIER, Alessia BERARDI, Nicholas McCONWAY, Esther LAW, Claire HUANG, Hicham LAHBABI

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21.02.2020 - Expert Talk

Exports' dependence to China and Asia of more than 70 countries

The Coronavirus is expected to have a significant impact at least on China Q1 GDP figure. This will affect many countries firstly through exports to China (including tourism).

Karine HERVE

Emerging Markets Senior Economist

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06.11.2019 - Investment Talks

China’s growth tremors: risks, opportunities and the road ahead

Soft landing and light policy support. In terms of Chinese growth, we see the rate continuing to slow. Chinese GDP growth rose 6.0% in the third quarter of 2019 (Chinese authorities forecasted a range of 6.0%-6.5% YoY), the slowest pace since the early 1990s. Moving into 2020, we do expect that the new growth target will be set around 6.0%, if not lower, at between 5.5% and 6.0%, and our current forecast is confirmed at 5.8% YoY.Exports unsurprisingly have been weak, private capex has slowed notably, and public infrastructure has not picked up as expected. Going forward, we expect public infrastructure capex to accelerate, and the tight real estate policy stance to potentially moderate. Chinese policy mix remains stimulative, though in a very limited way so far and far away from the massive stimulus implemented in recent years.

Vincent MORTIER, Alessia BERARDI, Angelo CORBETTA, Esther LAW

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11.10.2017 - Investment Talks

Opportunities ahead in Asia EMs, despite increasing geopolitical tensions

"EM Asian economies outlook has been improving and it’s expected to mildly improve further. We closely monitor geopolitical risk in the region."

Alessia BERARDI, Mauro RATTO

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