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Vignette - Thematic - France Germany

Vignette - Thematic - France Germany

02.10.2020 - Monthly Cross Asset

Is France still on track to reduce its competitiveness gap vs. Germany?

Germany clearly outperformed France on most macroeconomic metrics in the last two decades. Yet France has implemented many supply-side reforms since 2014. Despite the larger damage taken by France from the current Covid crisis, the lagged effect of these reforms can still help reduce the competitiveness gap with Germany after a few years. However, a key driver of medium-term relative performance will also be how both economies adapt to major “disruption”-related sectoral challenges.

Tristan PERRIER

Global Views Analyst

Vignette Turkey: Towards a new boom and bust cycle?

Vignette Turkey: Towards a new boom and bust cycle?

03.03.2020 - Expert Talk

Turkey: Towards a new boom and bust cycle?

Q4-2019 GDP figurewas released at6% yoy, higher than in Q3 (0.9%yoy): The main driver of this boom was private consumption that grew at 6.8% yoy and that was fueled by a huge expansion of credit to consumers, lower interest rates and a 15% rise in minimum wage.

Karine HERVE

Emerging Markets Senior Economist

Slider-1280x400

Slider-1280x400

28.02.2020 - Thought of the Day

South Africa’s budget was released on Wednesday

Public deficit will widen and debt won’t stabilize: The consolidated budget balance released at -6.3% of GDP for 2019/20 given a revenue shortfall of Rand 21 billion. For 2020/21,revenue is projected to be R1.58 trillion, or 29.2% of GDP. Expenditure is projected at R1.95 trillion, or 36% of GDP.

Karine HERVE

Emerging Markets Senior Economist

Slider

Slider

18.02.2020 - Thought of the Day

European Commission Forecasts

The newly released Winter 2020 Economic Forecast by the European Commission projects the Eurozone economy to keep expanding in 2020 on a moderate and steady growth path.

Annalisa USARDI

Senior Economist

2019-04-29 US GDP Q1

2019-04-29 US GDP Q1

29.04.2019 - Thought of the Day

The preliminary estimate for US Q1 GDP looks strong, but not all that glitters is gold

Signs of deceleration in domestic demand confirm our outlook for a progressive slowdown in the second half of the year, as we expect the impact from the fiscal stimulus to fade.

Annalisa USARDI

Senior Economist

2019.03.07 - Italian Economy - Vignette

2019.03.07 - Italian Economy - Vignette

07.03.2019 - Thought of the Day

The Italian economy expanded by 0.8% in 2018

Q4 GDP was revised up by the Italian Statistical Office (ISTAT) to -0,1% QoQ (-0.2% prior).

Annalisa USARDI

Senior Economist

Vignette_Australia

Vignette_Australia

13.09.2018 - Thought of the Day

Australia Q2 GDP

Australian economic growth has picked up, growing by 3.4% year on year (3.1% in Q1), the fastest pace since September 2012.

Annalisa USARDI, Gregorio VANIN

Vignette

Vignette

30.07.2018 - Thought of the Day

4.1% in the preliminary estimate for US Q2 2018 GDP

Today the advance estimate for the second quarter US GDP accelerated at 4.1% at annual rate, from 2.2% in Q1, broadly in line with market expectations.

Annalisa USARDI

Senior Economist

Didier Borowski

Didier Borowski

03.07.2018 - Expert Talk

The risk of a global trade war may impact GDP growth well before the war begins

Donald Trump has recently threatened to raise taxes on USD 200 bn of imports from China.

Didier BOROWSKI

Head of Global Views

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