US presidential election outcome: Joe Biden has enjoyed a remarkably stable lead in the national polls this year. Currently, he is leading President Trump by 7.6%, according to our poll of polls, down from a peak of 10.4% in June. However, we believe the race is much closer, at around 50/50, with a small Biden edge. The outcome remains uncertain for different reasons.
Didier BOROWSKI, Marco PIRONDINI, Christine TODD, Paresh UPADHYAYA