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Markets are pricing a lasting deflationary and low discount rate environment, and the ability of monetary and fiscal policies to continue to feed the “financial multiplier,” hence keeping a positive momentum of policy support. This support generates a certain dispersion of returns that offers opportunities for relative value play. This is the game investors should play as long as the policy mix keeps markets in a relative calm. Listen to Monica Defend, Global Head of Research, to discover the asset allocation views of October, in this new episode of Blue Convictions.
Developments on the virus and vaccine front and the US election are hot topics. Markets are pricing in a glass-half-full scenario, despite the still-alarming infection numbers on the virus front (second wave in Europe and record new cases globally). The interconnection of the three cycles — virus, real economy and financial — continues, but the virus transmission mechanism is changing.