Eurozone

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Monthly Cross Asset 6.10.2021 The Eurozone Gordian knot: how to reform the fiscal framework without abandoning fiscal discipline?

Reforming the European fiscal framework would improve the resilience of the Eurozone...provided that fiscal discipline is not abandoned.

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Monthly Cross Asset 8.09.2021 Job market integration within the Eurozone from 2008 to 2020: a challenge for the ECB?

The shock to the Eurozone job market in 2020 was considerable. Hardest hit were southern countries, young people and women. We discuss below these various factors of market fragmentation in the largest Eurozone countries.

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Monthly Cross Asset 5.05.2021 2021 Recovery to continue and beat potential

Goldilocks continues to allow a tempered risk on positioning. Longer term, growth will likely revert to potential amid a normalised inflation rate (at least in the US).

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Monthly Cross Asset 2.02.2021 Supply vs demand of EMU EGB in 2021
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QE potential to absorb the supply of sovereign debt looks strong in 2021.

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Monthly Cross Asset 12.01.2021 Is the Euro's rise a sign of greater resilience?
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The complexity and fragility of European institutions have contributed to maintaining a specific political risk premium on European assets, including the euro.

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Monthly Cross Asset 3.09.2020 Eurozone government bonds a supportive mix of remarkable funding progress and ECB QE still to come
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70% and 80% of overall gross and net EZ sovereign supply, respectively, estimated for all of 2020 was placed in the first seven months of the year

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Thematic Paper 9.05.2018 Cross road: the landscape of the fixed-income market
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Two events pushed down Eurozone sovereign spreads in 2017: the French presidential election in April & May, which dissipated investors’ fears about Eurosceptic movements, and the announcement on 26 October of a smaller-than-expected reduction in ECB’s QE for 2018 (monthly purchases lowered from € 60 bn to €30bn).

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Thematic Paper 21.12.2017 Italy: back to growth
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After underperforming against its peers for two decades in macroeconomic terms and following the deepest double-dip recession in its history (in 2008-2009 and in 2012-2013), the Italian economy is growing again, partially thanks to the strong, synchronised growth seen across the Eurozone, but also partially due to some structural improvements that have boosted competitiveness.

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