Emerging Markets

"Assessing the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) quality of an issuer is key for investment decisions, not only to take into account the sustainable risks that might weaken the issuer’s financial strength, but also to assess the product’s impact on key issues that represent a systemic risk for society, such as climate change, fraud and corruption, and social cohesion. To perform this assessment, having access to data is paramount. Today, because of regulation differences, disclosure is different from one region to another. There are nevertheless data sources that are underused and could, if correctly analyzed, strengthen our ESG assessment.

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The global economy should rebound strongly this year from its worst economic slump since the 1930s. However, the growth pattern is expected to be uneven across advanced and emerging economies, hinging critically on the virus cycle and the success of vaccine campaigns.

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Domestic demand, ‘Make in India’, and possible inclusion in fixed income indices

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Our emerging markets strategists attempt to answer some of the questions often asked by our clients.

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Global investors are currently dealing with two key challenges: find decent yield for their fixed income portfolios in a world of ultra-low or negative interest rates and access some exposure to growth at a reasonable price.

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The US election outcome and the hopes that the Covid-19 vaccine will be a tangible reality by the end of the year or the beginning of 2021 bode well for a worldwide economic recovery.

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The Covid-19 crisis and its impact on the economy (both oil and commodities dynamics and trade) have been the main drivers of the slowdown in emerging markets.

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The global outbreak of Covid-19 has brought the world and its economy to a standstill, highlighting the importance of sustainable and resilient infrastructure (healthcare, water, power, telecommunications).

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Two major drivers are shaping the landscape for EM countries: Covid-19 and oil dynamics. We are mindful that current events will have very significant negative effects on the economic outlook for EM this year, leading many countries into recession.

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