Economy & Markets
RC - Macroeconomics papers (recurrent)
Thematic Paper 25.07.2022 Towards new fiscal rules in Europe

After years of dormant peripheral risk, the recent resurgence of fragmentation issues in Europe, amid rising stagflationary risks at a time of Central Banks committing to tame inflation, puts the delicate fiscal and monetary equilibrium under the spotlight.

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RC - 2022.07 - Investment talk - ECB meeting
Investment Talks 22.07.2022 ECB meeting: larger-than-expected rate hike, with new fragmentation tool outlined

July meeting: The ECB hiked its three key interest rates by 50bp for the first time in more than a decade, bringing its rates out of negative territory.

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Investment Talks 22.07.2022 Italy swimming in uncertain waters as PM Draghi resigns

Italian government crisis, likely outcome: snap elections the most likely outcome. Prime Minister Draghi would remain at the helm of a caretaker government, until a new one is formed after the elections.

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Investment Talks 11.07.2022 UK Leadership Change: Economic and market implications

With the economic situation having deteriorated considerably since the beginning of the year, it is vital for the Conservative Party to agree on a new leader quickly.

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Investment Outlook 1.07.2022 H2 2022 Investment Outlook - Life above zero: investors’ journey at a time of rising rates

The H2 economic outlook will feature divergences in growth, inflation and policy mix across regions. Stagflation risk will be a common feature across Developed Markets (DM). In addition, since there will no longer be a synchronous global cycle, country risk is back.

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Investment Talks 29.06.2022 Focus on Spain: macroeconomic projections and fixed income view

The energy crisis in Europe, coupled with supply chain bottlenecks worldwide, and accelerated monetary tightening are the major headwinds for the Eurozone and for the Spanish economy.

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RC - Investment Talks - Macroeconomic projections for the italian economy
Investment Talks 28.06.2022 Macroeconomic projections for the Italian economy and fixed income implications

The growth outlook for Italy has been revised down on tighter financing conditions and monetary policy normalization, coupled with the energy crisis in Europe and global value chain bottlenecks.

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Investment Talks 21.06.2022 French elections results open a phase of political gridlock

The fragmentation of votes into irreconcilable political blocs with no absolute majority creates a political situation unprecedented under the Fifth Republic.

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Investment Talks 17.06.2022 14-15 June FOMC meeting: Fed becoming worried about inflation expectations

Understanding the outcome of the June FOMC meeting and its market and implications.

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