27.05.2020 14

Thematics Views - June 2020

Published May 27, 2020

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Controlling the yield curve during the recovery phase

As part of their toolkit to support the economic recovery during the Covid-19 crisis, central banks could implement yield-curve control. Although appealing, the implementation and exit risks of such a policy counterbalance the benefits, particularly in the Eurozone. Moreover, the impact on financial markets could be significant since chained risk-free assets could temporarily leave risky assets unsettled.

State of the US consumer: weakened but resilient

Massive government support and healthy consumer balance sheets are providing the means for the consumer to weather a relatively short but very deep recession. We are closely watching the magnitude and duration of unemployment to gauge the consumer’s debt-repayment capacity. The government backstop continues to provide stability for the financial markets and we believe it is a fertile environment
for active management.


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