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2017-06-Can global trade become

2017-06-Can global trade become

08.06.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

Can global trade become an engine of growth with consumption, investment and fiscal and tax policies?

Can global trade, which has declined sharply over the past decade, contribute to accelerating growth with consumption, investment and fiscal and tax policies? Not sure, given the structural headwinds.

Philippe ITHURBIDE

Global Head of Research, Strategy and Analysis at Amundi

2017.04 - A fundamental shift in the ECB’s communication

2017.04 - A fundamental shift in the ECB’s communication

07.04.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

A fundamental shift in the ECB’s communication

With the rise in inflation in recent months and the improvement of the economic environment, it has become more difficult for the ECB to justify its ultra-accommodative monetary policy. The ECB is facing mounting pressure.

Bastien DRUT

Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi

2017-french election urne

2017-french election urne

16.03.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

French Presidential Election: taking stock of the situation and decrypting current issues

French elections are a major concern for the financial markets because they are emblematic of current trends: the rise of far-right (or extreme left) parties in the EMU core countries (peripheral countries), The growing rejection of the establishment, protectionist temptations, hostility towards Europe and / or the European institutions, the fight against inequalities, the debate on the sharing of added value (employees vs. shareholders) ...

Philippe ITHURBIDE

Global Head of Research, Strategy and Analysis at Amundi

2017-02-Will inflation be back in the eurozone in 2017?

2017-02-Will inflation be back in the eurozone in 2017?

16.02.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

Will inflation be back in the eurozone in 2017?

Besides headline inflation, whose recent volatility is mostly due to oil prices basis effects, core inflation remains weak in the eurozone, where, at the same time, we note a significant decline in the disinflationary pressures that have emerged in recent years.

Tristan PERRIER

CFA, Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi

Immobilier

Immobilier

17.01.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

Eurozone: Residential real estate will continue to contribute positively to economic growth in the four largest economies of the Eurozone in 2017-18

After very different national cycles since 1997, residential real estate is now a positive contributor, albeit still a modest one, to the GDP recovery in the four largest economies of the eurozone.

Tristan PERRIER

CFA, Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi

2016-11-24-Cross asset- jeu d'echecs

2016-11-24-Cross asset- jeu d'echecs

24.11.2016 - Monthly Cross Asset

Macroeconomic scenario in 2017 and beyond - 2017: a lynchpin year dominated by global reflation (United States, China) and political uncertainty

Our 2017 scenario is based on six key ideas.

Didier BOROWSKI, Karine HERVE, Mo JI, Tristan PERRIER, Akio YOSHINO

2016-09-Southern Europe: la Balance

2016-09-Southern Europe: la Balance

15.09.2016 - Monthly Cross Asset

Southern Europe: the improvement in current accounts is here to last

Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Greece, which had run external defi cits prior to the crises of recent years, now have current accounts at equilibrium or surplus. Part of that adjustment is cyclical in nature, related to recessions.

Tristan PERRIER

CFA, Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi

2016-07-08-4-bisThe labour market in the eurozone is definitely improving, and a little less slowly at that

2016-07-08-4-bisThe labour market in the eurozone is definitely improving, and a little less slowly at that

12.07.2016 - Monthly Cross Asset

The labour market in the eurozone is definitely improving, and a little less slowly at that

Unlike GDP, key labour market indicators in the eurozone still have a long way to go to return to their pre-crisis levels.

Tristan PERRIER

CFA, Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi

2016-07-08-1-Brexit: towards a recession in the United Kingdom and a slowdown of growth in the Eurozone

2016-07-08-1-Brexit: towards a recession in the United Kingdom and a slowdown of growth in the Eurozone

12.07.2016 - Monthly Cross Asset

Brexit: towards a recession in the United Kingdom and a slowdown of growth in the Eurozones

The Brexit vote is a huge source of uncertainty: uncertainty over the future of trade relations between the UK and the EU, political uncertainty and further uncertainty over the country's unity. This shock of uncertainty may send the British economy into recession.

Didier BOROWSKI

Research Strategy and Analysis

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