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09.05.2018 - Thematic Paper

Cross road: the landscape of the fixed-income market

The global economy enjoyed a strongest upturn in 2017. The upswing was broad and driven by a notable rebound in global trade and an investment recovery in advanced economies. The improvement in the macroeconomic environment has allowed central banks to confirm the gradual reduction (at different speeds) in the accommodative stance of monetary policy.

Valentine AINOUZ, Sergio BERTONCINI, Silvia DI SILVIO

Vignette_TresorAmericain

Vignette_TresorAmericain

19.02.2018 - Thought of the Day

The share of non-resident holdings of US Treasuries fell again at the end of 2017

Against of backdrop of rising US fiscal deficits and of rumors of less foreign purchases of US Treasuries, it is interesting to note that the share of non-resident holdings of US Treasuries fell again at the end of 2017, to 43.6%.

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

2018-02-16 - the improvemenet of peripheral bonds

2018-02-16 - the improvemenet of peripheral bonds

16.02.2018 - Thematic Paper

The improvement of peripheral bonds’ fundamentals has accelerated

Two events pushed down Eurozone sovereign spreads in 2017: the French presidential election in April & May, which dissipated investors’ fears about Eurosceptic movements, and the announcement on 26 October of a smaller-than-expected reduction in ECB’s QE for 2018 (monthly purchases lowered from € 60 bn to €30bn).

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

Slider Thematic paper Italie

Slider Thematic paper Italie

21.12.2017 - Thematic Paper

Italy: back to growth

After underperforming against its peers for two decades in macroeconomic terms and following the deepest double-dip recession in its history (in 2008-2009 and in 2012-2013), the Italian economy is growing again, partially thanks to the strong, synchronised growth seen across the Eurozone, but also partially due to some structural improvements that have boosted competitiveness.

Andrea BRASILI

Senior Economist

2017-12-08-vignette

2017-12-08-vignette

08.12.2017 - Thought of the Day

The share of Eurozone citizens thinking that having the euro is a good thing hits a new peak

The yearly Eurobarometer on the euro area has just been published: 64% of Eurozone citizens say that “having the euro is a good thing for their country”.

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

2017.11.24 - Vignette ECB

2017.11.24 - Vignette ECB

24.11.2017 - Thought of the Day

The Eurozone debt-to-GDP ratio continues to decline as GDP growth is higher than interest rates

According to ECB data, the Eurozone debt-to-GDP ratio was 89 % in Q2 2017, down from 93% three years ago.

Bastien DRUT

Fixed Income and FX Strategy

Slider German 20.11.2017

Slider German 20.11.2017

20.11.2017 - Investment Talks

What is in store for investors after the German government talks collapse?

"The strength of the Eurozone economy will prevent the uncertainty in German politics from having a significant impact on the currency."

Tristan PERRIER, Francesco SANDRINI, Bastien DRUT

Tristan PERRIER

Tristan PERRIER

03.11.2017 - Expert Talk

Eurozone: weak core inflation, until when?

The major economic figures on the eurozone that appeared this week merely repeated the trends we have seen year-to-date: growth is once again confirming its strength (GDP up 0.6% in Q3, with economic indicators staying positive for October), but is not helping core inflation (ex energy and food), which surprised to the downside (0.9% in October, after 1.1% in September).

Tristan PERRIER

CFA, Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi

Bastien Drut

Bastien Drut

27.10.2017 - Expert Talk

Once again, the Eurozone/ECB lags the US/Fed by 4 years

The ECB announced that it will halve the pace of its QE purchases in 2018, what is the equivalent of the announcement of the beginning of the Fed’s QE tapering in December 2013.

Bastien DRUT, Valentine AINOUZ

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