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2017-07-08-Article-6

2017-07-08-Article-6

24.07.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

CSPP in tapering times: what to expect in H2 2017 and for 2018?

EUR corporate bond valuations have stabilised at high levels. Significantly, this asset class received direct support from the ECB through its Corporate Sector Purchase Programme (CSPP). In this article, we look at the impact the tapering of this programme will have on the market.

Valentine AINOUZ, Sergio BERTONCINI

High yield euro

High yield euro

09.05.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

Euro HY: an essential asset class in a low-rate environment

HY Euro's performance in recent months has been remarkable. The HY Euro Index tightened by 157bp in 2016 ans 48bp since the start of 2017. So why is it still a good idea to take a position on HY Euro ?

Valentine AINOUZ, Marina COHEN

2017.04 - US corporate valuations and the link with bond yields

2017.04 - US corporate valuations and the link with bond yields

07.04.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

US corporate valuations and the link with bond yields

US credit markets have delivered a strong performance since mid-February 2016: for example, HY spreads tightened massively, on average from a peak close to 900 b.p. to a low of 355 b.p. one year later, while now spreads

Sergio BERTONCINI

Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi Milan

2017-03 euro corporate bonds

2017-03 euro corporate bonds

16.03.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

EUR corporate bonds: a cross-check on valuations

EUR corporate bonds continue to track the firming momentum of macro and micro trends, and spreads have tracked the fall in equity implied volatility to lower levels. Credit markets, therefore, recently de-coupled from sovereign debt, which is being negatively impacted by political uncertainties. After such an outperformance we address the valuation issue, with specific reference to the usual drivers and the yield curve segments.

Valentine AINOUZ, Sergio BERTONCINI

2017-02-HY DEFAULT RATES 2016 REVIEW AND 2017 OUTLOOK

2017-02-HY DEFAULT RATES 2016 REVIEW AND 2017 OUTLOOK

16.02.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

HY default rates: 2016 review and 2017 outlook

The end of US HY “mini” default cycle (almost completely commodity-driven) is approaching. Our regressions point to a significant fall in US default rates from the 6% area to 3.7% by December. No material deviation is expected from the still-benign European default cycle, which is likely to remain stable and low by historical standards in 2017, as well.

Sergio BERTONCINI

Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi Milan

2017-02-D trump victory

2017-02-D trump victory

16.02.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

What should your position on the credit markets be in the wake of Trump?

2016 was a remarkable year for credit markets. Donald Trump’s victory was greeted very favourably by credit markets, and changed the tone somewhat. In this new environment, what should your position on the credit markets be?

Valentine AINOUZ

Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi

EUR IG corporate bonds

EUR IG corporate bonds

17.01.2017 - Monthly Cross Asset

Corporate bonds: Financials offer attractive valuations among EUR IG corporate bonds

In 2016 EUR-denominated corporate bonds were among the best performing asset classes on fixed-income markets: in fact, corporates outperformed also peripheral govies for the first time in years.

Sergio BERTONCINI

Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi Milan

2016-11-24-cross asset- fleche+rouages

2016-11-24-cross asset- fleche+rouages

24.11.2016 - Monthly Cross Asset

Corporate bond markets in 2017 and beyond - Growth versus technical factors!

Performances delivered by US and European corporate bonds are quite positive year to date in absolute terms and also relative to their corresponding government bonds, especially with respect to other risky assets like equities:

Valentine AINOUZ, Sergio BERTONCINI

2016-10-CBPS: The BoE's corporate bond purchase programme at work

2016-10-CBPS: The BoE's corporate bond purchase programme at work

17.10.2016 - Monthly Cross Asset

CBPS: The BoE’s corporate bond purchase programme at work

By mid-September the Bank of England released more details about its £10-billion Corporate Bond Purchase Scheme (CBPS), which had been announced on 4 August and just began at the end of last month.

Sergio BERTONCINI

Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi Milan

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