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Argentina's Political and Market Risks - 1280-400

14.08.2019 - Investment Talks

Argentina: election surprise amplifies market and political risks

Argentina’s primary elections: Opposition candidate Alberto Fernandez won by largerthan-expected margin against President Macri. At this point, markets price in Fernandez’s victory in October elections.

Abbas AMELI-RENANI, Yerlan SYZDYKOV, Sosi VARTANESYAN

09.08.2019 - Investment Talks

US-China trade war: walking a tightrope

Recent escalation: Donald Trump proposed additional 10% tariffs on a further US$300 billion worth of Chinese imports from 1 September. This is surprising, given that the two countries appeared to have found some common ground at the G20 meeting in June. However, the truce was short-lived and China responded with its own set of measures inform of a suspension of US agricultural imports and currency devaluation, which could further escalate the situation.

Didier BOROWSKI, Angelo CORBETTA, Abbas AMELI-RENANI, Francesco SANDRINI

Thematic paper - Quarterly Asset Class Return Forecasts

06.08.2019 - Thematic Paper

Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q3 - 2019

Our medium-term baseline scenario is that of a late business cycle slowdown supported by the dovish U-turn of central banks.

Delphine GEORGES, Viviana GISIMUNDO, Jung Hun KIM MOON

05.08.2019 - Insights Paper

Emerging Markets Charts & Views - Finding a balance between easing central banks and an uncertain scenario

The recent dovishness from the Fed, a benign inflation environment and the easing in global financial conditions continue to support a goldilocks environment for Emerging Markets (EM) assets.

Alessia BERARDI, Didier BOROWSKI, Claudia BERTINO, Debora DELBÓ, Ujjwal DHINGRA, Colm D’ROSARIO, Laura FIOROT, Karine HERVE, Patrice LEMONNIER, Giovanni LICCARDO, Sergei STRIGO, Yerlan SYZDYKOV

05.08.2019 - Thematic Paper

Global Asset Class Spotlights - Top Down Quarterly Assessment

This document includes Amundi’s view on asset returns used to build reference portfolios for our institutional clients.

Valentine AINOUZ, Sergio BERTONCINI, Federico CESARINI, Monica DEFEND, Debora DELBÓ, Silvia DI SILVIO, Delphine GEORGES, Eric MIJOT, Lorenzo PORTELLI, Ibra WANE