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France or the United States: where does the real danger lie for equity markets?

While the risk associated with the elections in Europe, and particularly in France, is increasing, we are more concerned with the overvaluation of the leading market (the United States).

The French elections may even lead to a buying opportunity on European equities, an opportunity that should be taken tactically, while bearing in mind that this year’s crucial decision will ultimately be to protect one’s portfolio. The probability of a market shock will increase as the end of the year approaches. To characterise the current situation, it may be said that the equity markets maintain hope of gaining 5-10%, but that investors seeking to profit from it are running the pending risk of facing a shock of 20%.

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MIJOT Eric , Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi
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France or the United States: where does the real danger lie for equity markets?
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