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Breakeven inflation rates and nominal yields: analysis of current and upcoming pressures

Long-term rates shot higher after the US elections.

One of the reasons commonly invoked to explain this is the idea that the measures the new US administration will adopt will stimulate both growth and inflation. Alongside this movement, we have also seen a reappraisal of fed funds expectations, and media pressure on the ECB has increased sharply. In addition, the increase in long-term rates has coincided with the rise in the inflation indices in most of the developed countries. Thus, there are several factors behind the rise in long-term rates, and in this article we are attempting to disentangle them and thoroughly analyse the latest trends in long-term rates for the US and European bond markets.

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DRUT Bastien , Fixed Income and FX Strategy
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Breakeven inflation rates and nominal yields: analysis of current and upcoming pressures
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