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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2017

 

ASSET ALLOCATION

 

2017.02---couverture

 

Our convictions

This month's topic

Long-term rates: a regime shift, a fluctuation band shift?

The rise in long-term  interest rates raises a crucial question: is it a change in regime, a change in level, or a correction within a band of fluctuation that will remain low? The purpose of this article is to answer this question.

Summary tables

Risk Factors

Macroeconomic picture

Macroeconomic and financial forecasts

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Eurozone

 

Will inflation be back in the eurozone in 2017?

 

Focus: The spillover of energy price fluctuations to other sectors and currency effects could have contradictory effects on core inflation in 2017.

 

Forex

 

The pound’s trajectory in uncertain times

 

Donald Trump: a strong dollar policy in spite of himself

Bond markets

 

Breakeven inflation rates and nominal yields: analysis of current and upcoming pressures

 

Corporate bonds

What should your position on the credit markets be in the wake of Trump?

 

 

HY default rates: 2016 review and 2017 outlook

China

 

Do long-term macro factors matter when investing in China?

 

Research Team

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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2017
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