Many of the factors that challenged EM currencies in 2015 are likely to continue in the year ahead. Emerging Markets are caught between tightening policy rates in the US, a free-fall in commodity prices, which is partially driven by a China slowdown, and heightened idiosyncratic risks.
Abbas AMELI-RENANI, Bastien DRUT
Will the final act of the “Great Divide” between the Fed and the ECB result in a liquidity tantrum? The current bond environment is wholly extraordinary. Neither the recovery in rates nor the bond volatility inherent in a low-rate environment can quite account for it.
Marc-Ali BEN ABDALLAH, Karine HERVE, Julien MOUSSAVI
The slowdown in China's growth has been limited, but the country's ballooning corporate debt has begun to worry large organisations like the IMF, OECD and BIS. So how, exactly, do things stands? Should we fear a financial crisis ?
Global Head of Research, Strategy and Analysis at Amundi