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Vignette 600x400

Vignette 600x400

14.10.2019 - Investment Talks

Liquidity dilemma needs a regulatory response

A few high-profile fund suspensions have recently driven the focus back to market liquidity and how this can affect the ability of funds to meet certain redemption scenarios. Despite ample liquidity at the macro level, some areas of strain remain at the micro level and could worsen in case of a material deterioration of economic conditions, a recession or a spike in volatility.

Pascal BLANQUE, Vincent MORTIER

Slider

Slider

02.08.2019 - Insights Paper

Seek high yield opportunities, but be aware of liquidity conditions

Low rates and accommodative central bank policies translate into lower funding costs and easier financial conditions for HY companies.

Kenneth J. MONAGHAN, Andrew FELTUS, Sergio BERTONCINI, Laura FIOROT

Fixed Income

Fixed Income

25.07.2019 - Insights Paper

Fixed Income Charts and Views

Fixed income back to the core: Search for yield, flexibility, and ESG are major themes

Claudia BERTINO, Laura FIOROT, Eric BRARD

G-20

G-20

03.07.2019 - Investment Talks

G20: market relief, eyes now on Central Bank's execution

The worst case scenario of further trade escalation has been averted. The G20 meeting over the weekend resumed the negotiations between China and US on trade, after the tariffs increase in May on $200bn of Chinese products, and the consequent Chinese retaliation, which both put financial markets under pressure and increased downside risk to the economic outlook.

Vincent MORTIER, Didier BOROWSKI, Monica DEFEND

2019.04 - DP037 - Is inflation definitely dead or simply dormant?

2019.04 - DP037 - Is inflation definitely dead or simply dormant?

30.04.2019 - Discussion Paper

Is inflation definitely dead or simply dormant? Consequences for central banks

Inflation never disappears completely. In history, there have been periods when it was dormant, but revivals have always been painful.

Philippe ITHURBIDE

Global Head of Research

2019.03.15_Gold in central banks

2019.03.15_Gold in central banks

15.03.2019 - Insights Paper

Gold in central banks’ asset allocation

After a long lacklustre period during the 1980s and 1990s, the price of gold has picked up significantly since the new millennium, and central banks, after having steadily reduced their allocation to gold, have resumed their gold purchases.

Viviana GISIMUNDO, Lorenzo PORTELLI, Eric TAZE-BERNARD

2018-FED

2018-FED

31.12.2018 - Investment Talks

Fed policy and US economy, what’s next?

US economy: we expect the US economy to grow above potential in 2019 and to gradually converge to its long-term growth rate of around 2% in 2020 as the boost provided by fiscal expansion in 2018 will gradually lose steam.

Didier BOROWSKI, Annalisa USARDI, Valentine AINOUZ, Kenneth J. TAUBES

Vignette

Vignette

26.03.2018 - Thought of the Day

Monetary policy will help support the recovery.

Russia’s central bank cut its key interest rate by 25 bp to 7.25% on Friday 20th of March, as expected.

Karine HERVE

PhD, Senior Economist

2013-06-BCE

2013-06-BCE

30.06.2017 - Expert Talk

Central banks are preparing to change course

Mario Draghi’s 27 June speech (“Accompanying the economic recovery”) startled market participants awake from their day-dreams about their upcoming summer vacations. The 10-year Bund yield surged by 20bp on the week to 0.46% and the EUR/USD gained 2% to 1.14, a more than one-year high.

Bastien Drut & Valentine Ainouz

Strategy and Economic Research at Amundi

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